FIM District Lake City Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

141.82 – 124.77

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

224 – 246

Prediction missed · off by 101.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 347.4 ±11.7

7155The Robotic Rangers

Season APEX 40.8Event APEX 14.7Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9568AstroBots

Season APEX 62.3Event APEX 21.4Rank 17Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2054Tech Vikes

Season APEX 244.3Event APEX 105.72Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 282.4 ±12.2

141WOBOT

Season APEX 90.9Event APEX 39.12Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3537Delta Force

Season APEX 37.9Event APEX 16.65Rank 24Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

226Hammerheads

Season APEX 153.6Event APEX 69Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7155, 9568, 2054

/ 100 compat

Projected

141.8 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7155, 9568, 2054

Auto

39.2 28%

Teleop

76.4 54%

Endgame

25.4 18%

Strengths

· 2054 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 141, 3537, 226

/ 100 compat

Projected

124.8 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 141, 3537, 226

Auto

20.2 17%

Teleop

68.9 59%

Endgame

28.5 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.5 · Blue 1.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score141.8pts

Blue projected score124.8pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 17
Score range: 107–160
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 470 vs event baseline 101.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

347.4Season APEX282.4

39.2Auto20.2

76.4Teleop68.9

25.4Endgame28.5

55Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	40
teleop	112	125
endgame	64	81
foul	0	0
total	224	246

Result

Final score

224 – 246

Prediction missed · off by 101.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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