FIM District Lake City Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

173.09 – 73.79

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

127 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 23.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 298.5 ±11.2

3603Cyber Coyotes

Season APEX 181.2Event APEX 126.08Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7768The AutoMatons

Season APEX 79.4Event APEX 25.42Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3537Delta Force

Season APEX 37.9Event APEX 21.59Rank 24Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 267 ±12.4

9568AstroBots

Season APEX 62.3Event APEX 22.13Rank 17Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11440Casman EObots

Season APEX 28.4Event APEX 1.03Rank 29Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5534Onaway Onabots

Season APEX 176.3Event APEX 50.63Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3603, 7768, 3537

/ 100 compat

Projected

173.1 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 3603, 7768, 3537

Auto

28.3 17%

Teleop

106.6 64%

Endgame

30.9 19%

Strengths

· 3603 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9568, 11440, 5534

/ 100 compat

Projected

73.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9568, 11440, 5534

Auto

17.7 24%

Teleop

42.2 58%

Endgame

12.6 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.98 · Blue 0.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score173.1pts

Blue projected score73.8pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 99.3
Score range: 56–191
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 201 vs event baseline 101.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

298.5Season APEX267

28.3Auto17.7

106.6Teleop42.2

30.9Endgame12.6

42Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	15
teleop	66	35
endgame	32	24
foul	0	0
total	127	74

Result

Final score

127 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 23.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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