FIM District Lake City Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

92.8 – 113.6

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

53 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 38.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 269.6 ±12.7

7202Cyber Orioles

Season APEX 103.7Event APEX 54.22Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7790Baywatch Robotics

Season APEX 104Event APEX 37.64Rank 25Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7794Eagle Engineers

Season APEX 61.9Event APEX 0.94Rank 31Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 411 ±10.5

7155The Robotic Rangers

Season APEX 40.8Event APEX 9.01Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6121RoboVikes

Season APEX 216.6Event APEX 36.8Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

226Hammerheads

Season APEX 153.6Event APEX 67.79Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7202, 7790, 7794

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7202, 7790, 7794

Auto

14.2 15%

Teleop

57.5 62%

Endgame

20.5 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7155, 6121, 226

/ 100 compat

Projected

113.6 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7155, 6121, 226

Auto

22.5 22%

Teleop

56.9 55%

Endgame

24.7 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.23 · Blue 1.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score92.8pts

Blue projected score113.6pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -20.8
Score range: 75–132
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 204 vs event baseline 101.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

269.6Season APEX411

14.2Auto22.5

57.5Teleop56.9

20.5Endgame24.7

65Consistency97

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	30
teleop	23	90
endgame	14	31
foul	0	0
total	53	151

Result

Final score

53 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 38.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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