FIM District Lake City Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

78.12 – 129.5

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

84 – 50

Prediction missed · off by 42.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 320.7 ±11.7

6087Cybertronic Lancers

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 0.95Rank 13Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6963Blood Sweat and Gears

Season APEX 55.4Event APEX 23.64Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3536Electro Eagles

Season APEX 214.6Event APEX 53.53Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 235.4 ±12.1

7202Cyber Orioles

Season APEX 103.7Event APEX 62.88Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7155The Robotic Rangers

Season APEX 40.8Event APEX 17.44Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

141WOBOT

Season APEX 90.9Event APEX 49.18Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6087, 6963, 3536

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6087, 6963, 3536

Auto

16.1 21%

Teleop

48.3 62%

Endgame

13.5 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7202, 7155, 141

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.5 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7202, 7155, 141

Auto

17.1 14%

Teleop

76.9 62%

Endgame

30.5 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.12 · Blue 1.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score78.1pts

Blue projected score129.5pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -51.4
Score range: 60–148
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 134 vs event baseline 101.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

320.7Season APEX235.4

16.1Auto17.1

48.3Teleop76.9

13.5Endgame30.5

24Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	17
teleop	36	31
endgame	28	2
foul	5	0
total	84	50

Result

Final score

84 – 50

Prediction missed · off by 42.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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