FIM District Lake City Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

54.89 – 172.46

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

71 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 34.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 285.8 ±12.4

3537Delta Force

Season APEX 37.9Event APEX 21.89Rank 24Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11435St. Peter's High School RaiderBots

Season APEX 31.3Event APEX 2.97Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6121RoboVikes

Season APEX 216.6Event APEX 30.03Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 542.8 ±9.9

9106Spires

Season APEX 72.1Event APEX 20.33Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2054Tech Vikes

Season APEX 244.3Event APEX 96.87Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1684The Chimeras

Season APEX 226.4Event APEX 55.26Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3537, 11435, 6121

/ 100 compat

Projected

54.9 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3537, 11435, 6121

Auto

11.1 19%

Teleop

29.3 51%

Endgame

17.1 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9106, 2054, 1684

/ 100 compat

Projected

172.5 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9106, 2054, 1684

Auto

36.6 22%

Teleop

96.3 58%

Endgame

34.3 21%

Strengths

· 2054 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.78 · Blue 2.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score54.9pts

Blue projected score172.5pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -117.6
Score range: 37–190
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 190 vs event baseline 100.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

285.8Season APEX542.8

11.1Auto36.6

29.3Teleop96.3

17.1Endgame34.3

82Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	8
teleop	20	53
endgame	19	58
foul	15	0
total	71	119

Result

Final score

71 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 34.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.