FIM District Lake City Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

77.11 – 10.54

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

81 – 67

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 165.2 ±12.7

141WOBOT

Season APEX 90.9Event APEX 49.3Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9650Mio Thunderbotz

Season APEX 23.6Event APEX 24.01Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6087Cybertronic Lancers

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 3.8Rank 13Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 182.1 ±12.2

7155The Robotic Rangers

Season APEX 40.8Event APEX 6.4Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7768The AutoMatons

Season APEX 79.4Event APEX 9.87Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7794Eagle Engineers

Season APEX 61.9Event APEX -5.73Rank 31Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 141, 9650, 6087

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.1 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 141, 9650, 6087

Auto

15.0 20%

Teleop

41.1 55%

Endgame

18.9 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7155, 7768, 7794

/ 100 compat

Projected

10.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7155, 7768, 7794

Auto

17.3 100%

Teleop

-29.0 0%

Endgame

11.8 100%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.75 · Blue 0.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score77.1pts

Blue projected score10.5pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 19%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 66.6
Score range: -7–95
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 148 vs event baseline 99.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

165.2Season APEX182.1

15Auto17.3

41.1Teleop-29

18.9Endgame11.8

17Consistency135

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	20
teleop	47	32
endgame	23	15
foul	0	0
total	81	67

Result

Final score

81 – 67

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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