FIM District Lake City Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

203.08 – 72.08

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

139 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 42.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 465.3 ±9.9

1684The Chimeras

Season APEX 226.4Event APEX 57.66Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3603Cyber Coyotes

Season APEX 181.2Event APEX 114.35Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4983IronBots

Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 31.07Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 297.1 ±11.1

7855Chronic Robophobia

Season APEX 41.8Event APEX 1.44Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2586Copper Bots

Season APEX 214.5Event APEX 52.29Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7155The Robotic Rangers

Season APEX 40.8Event APEX 18.35Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1684, 3603, 4983

/ 100 compat

Projected

203.1 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1684, 3603, 4983

Auto

32.5 17%

Teleop

116.9 60%

Endgame

44.3 23%

Strengths

· 3603 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7855, 2586, 7155

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.1 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7855, 2586, 7155

Auto

13.6 20%

Teleop

36.9 54%

Endgame

18.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.18 · Blue 0.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score203.1pts

Blue projected score72.1pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 131
Score range: 52–223
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 190 vs event baseline 112.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

465.3Season APEX297.1

32.5Auto13.6

116.9Teleop36.9

44.3Endgame18

23Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	4
teleop	89	37
endgame	37	10
foul	5	0
total	139	51

Result

Final score

139 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 42.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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