FIM District Lake City Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

117.51 – 0

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

120 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 38.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 493.4 ±10.7

6121RoboVikes

Season APEX 216.6Event APEX 29.78Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2586Copper Bots

Season APEX 214.5Event APEX 66.76Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9568AstroBots

Season APEX 62.3Event APEX 20.97Rank 17Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 203.1 ±13.3

6114Hamilton CyberHawks

Season APEX 112.8Event APEX 13.96Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7794Eagle Engineers

Season APEX 61.9Event APEX -12.71Rank 31Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11440Casman EObots

Season APEX 28.4Event APEX -19.96Rank 29Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6121, 2586, 9568

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.5 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6121, 2586, 9568

Auto

9.1 8%

Teleop

79.6 66%

Endgame

31.1 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6114, 7794, 11440

/ 100 compat

Projected

-18.7 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6114, 7794, 11440

Auto

17.3 0%

Teleop

-31.1 100%

Endgame

-1.3 9%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.18 · Blue 0.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score117.5pts

Blue projected score-18.7pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 117.5
Score range: -17–135
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 194 vs event baseline 96.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

493.4Season APEX203.1

9.1Auto17.3

79.6Teleop-31.1

31.1Endgame-1.3

77Consistency95

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	17
teleop	79	24
endgame	16	18
foul	0	15
total	120	74

Result

Final score

120 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 38.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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