FIM District Lake City Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

90.69 – 110.03

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

149 – 132

Prediction missed · off by 40.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 378.7 ±11.1

6121RoboVikes

Season APEX 216.6Event APEX 22.41Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

141WOBOT

Season APEX 90.9Event APEX 44.02Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10421Coded Dragons

Season APEX 71.2Event APEX 24.26Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 327.6 ±11.1

6963Blood Sweat and Gears

Season APEX 55.4Event APEX 24.02Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4983IronBots

Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 25.71Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2586Copper Bots

Season APEX 214.5Event APEX 60.3Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6121, 141, 10421

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6121, 141, 10421

Auto

22.2 27%

Teleop

48.7 59%

Endgame

12.0 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6963, 4983, 2586

/ 100 compat

Projected

110 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6963, 4983, 2586

Auto

13.7 13%

Teleop

67.4 66%

Endgame

21.1 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.31 · Blue 1.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score90.7pts

Blue projected score110pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -19.3
Score range: 74–127
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 281 vs event baseline 92.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

378.7Season APEX327.6

22.2Auto13.7

48.7Teleop67.4

12Endgame21.1

45Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	20
teleop	77	82
endgame	53	30
foul	0	0
total	149	132

Result

Final score

149 – 132

Prediction missed · off by 40.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.