FIM District Lake City Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

176.88 – 58.59

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

183 – 248

Prediction missed · off by 97.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 398 ±11.1

7790Baywatch Robotics

Season APEX 104Event APEX 30.75Rank 25Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6114Hamilton CyberHawks

Season APEX 112.8Event APEX 21.59Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3603Cyber Coyotes

Season APEX 181.2Event APEX 124.54Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 520 ±9.9

3536Electro Eagles

Season APEX 214.6Event APEX 26.44Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

141WOBOT

Season APEX 90.9Event APEX 10.11Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2586Copper Bots

Season APEX 214.5Event APEX 22.04Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7790, 6114, 3603

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.9 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7790, 6114, 3603

Auto

20.3 12%

Teleop

106.4 64%

Endgame

40.0 24%

Strengths

· 3603 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3536, 141, 2586

/ 100 compat

Projected

58.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3536, 141, 2586

Auto

-2.3 0%

Teleop

52.6 81%

Endgame

14.7 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.12 · Blue 0.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score176.9pts

Blue projected score58.6pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 118.3
Score range: 43–193
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 431 vs event baseline 89.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

398Season APEX520

20.3Auto-2.3

106.4Teleop52.6

40Endgame14.7

83Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	26
teleop	112	160
endgame	43	52
foul	0	10
total	183	248

Result

Final score

183 – 248

Prediction missed · off by 97.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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