Qualification · Qualification 20
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
52.08 – 73.15
43%57%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
48 – 79
Prediction correct · off by 5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 155.9 ±12.8
Season APEX 45.2Event APEX 30.02Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 79.4Event APEX 13.48Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 31.3Event APEX 8.58Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 441.9 ±10.5
Season APEX 112.8Event APEX 22.72Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 226.4Event APEX 26.21Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 24.22Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8041, 7768, 11435
47
/ 100 compatProjected
52.1 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 8041, 7768, 11435
Auto
6.4 12%
Teleop
24.5 46%
Endgame
22.7 42%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6114, 1684, 4956
63
/ 100 compatProjected
73.2 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 6114, 1684, 4956
Auto
20.9 29%
Teleop
37.6 52%
Endgame
13.8 19%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.21 · Blue 1.53
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score52.1pts
Blue projected score73.2pts
Red win probability43%
Event bonus sample168alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 30%, blue 36%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -21.1
- Score range
- 37–88
- Upset likelihood
- 43%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
155.9Season APEX441.9
6.4Auto20.9
24.5Teleop37.6
22.7Endgame13.8
116Consistency126
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 11 | 43 |
| teleop | 18 | 19 |
| endgame | 19 | 17 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 48 | 79 |
Result
Final score
48 – 79
Prediction correct · off by 5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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