FIM District Lake City Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

15.07 – 80.33

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

83 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 49.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 289.7 ±11.7

2586Copper Bots

Season APEX 214.5Event APEX 10.81Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3537Delta Force

Season APEX 37.9Event APEX -4.84Rank 24Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4776S.C.O.T.S. Bots

Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 9.1Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 419 ±11.2

6087Cybertronic Lancers

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 36.95Rank 13Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7250OsCODEa 0w|5

Season APEX 214.7Event APEX 7.67Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

226Hammerheads

Season APEX 153.6Event APEX 35.71Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2586, 3537, 4776

/ 100 compat

Projected

15.1 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2586, 3537, 4776

Auto

-0.5 0%

Teleop

8.3 100%

Endgame

0.4 5%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6087, 7250, 226

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.3 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6087, 7250, 226

Auto

7.5 12%

Teleop

25.7 42%

Endgame

27.8 46%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.95 · Blue 1.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score15.1pts

Blue projected score80.3pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -65.3
Score range: 0–95
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 194 vs event baseline 83.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

289.7Season APEX419

-0.5Auto7.5

8.3Teleop25.7

0.4Endgame27.8

118Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	23
teleop	58	59
endgame	17	29
foul	0	0
total	83	111

Result

Final score

83 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 49.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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