FIM District Lake City Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

75.34 – 1.2

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

41 – 59

Prediction missed · off by 46.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 293.3 ±11.7

3537Delta Force

Season APEX 37.9Event APEX 2.33Rank 24Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7155The Robotic Rangers

Season APEX 40.8Event APEX 30.74Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3536Electro Eagles

Season APEX 214.6Event APEX 42.27Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 144.4 ±13.3

7794Eagle Engineers

Season APEX 61.9Event APEX -12.07Rank 31Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4776S.C.O.T.S. Bots

Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 1.28Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8041Lake City Ultrabots

Season APEX 45.2Event APEX 11.99Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3537, 7155, 3536

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.3 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3537, 7155, 3536

Auto

13.8 21%

Teleop

44.0 65%

Endgame

9.4 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7794, 4776, 8041

/ 100 compat

Projected

1.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7794, 4776, 8041

Auto

8.6 100%

Teleop

-0.7 0%

Endgame

-4.3 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.78 · Blue 0.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score75.3pts

Blue projected score1.2pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 19%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 74.1
Score range: -14–90
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 100 vs event baseline 82.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

293.3Season APEX144.4

13.8Auto8.6

44Teleop-0.7

9.4Endgame-4.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	7
teleop	16	8
endgame	17	34
foul	0	10
total	41	59

Result

Final score

41 – 59

Prediction missed · off by 46.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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