FIM District Lake City Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

29.9 – 70.1

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

42 – 31

Prediction missed · off by 25.6 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches) — wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceΣ Season APEX 89.5 ±13.9

9541M st*e(squared)

Season APEX 40.9Event APEX 5.71Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7855Chronic Robophobia

Season APEX 21.7Event APEX 14.57Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8041Lake City Ultrabots

Season APEX 26.9Event APEX 9.62Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceΣ Season APEX 141.1 ±13.3

2586Copper Bots

Season APEX 102.1Event APEX 14.57Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11440Casman EObots

Season APEX 5.6Event APEX 30.53Rank 29Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7768The AutoMatons

Season APEX 33.4Event APEX 25Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -40.2
Score range: 16–84
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-07-01
Model: apex-0.2.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 73 vs event baseline 76.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

89.5Season APEX141.1

8.2Auto10.8

17.3Teleop44

5.5Endgame13.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	4
teleop	25	20
endgame	5	7
foul	0	0
total	42	31

Result

Final score

42 – 31

Prediction missed · score err 25.6

FIRST/TBA score reconciliation:

agree

Match videos

Watch (youtube)