FIM District Lake City Event presented by AT&T

Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

218.6 – 145.79

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

250 – 161

Prediction correct · off by 23.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 449.1 ±9.9

3603Cyber Coyotes

Season APEX 181.2Event APEX 112.78Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9650Mio Thunderbotz

Season APEX 23.6Event APEX 8.48Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2054Tech Vikes

Season APEX 244.3Event APEX 97.34Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 410 ±10.5

3536Electro Eagles

Season APEX 214.6Event APEX 58.95Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7855Chronic Robophobia

Season APEX 41.8Event APEX 1.47Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

226Hammerheads

Season APEX 153.6Event APEX 85.37Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3603, 9650, 2054

/ 100 compat

Projected

218.6 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3603, 9650, 2054

Auto

43.7 20%

Teleop

135.1 62%

Endgame

37.6 17%

Strengths

· 3603 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3536, 7855, 226

/ 100 compat

Projected

145.8 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3536, 7855, 226

Auto

28.0 20%

Teleop

87.8 63%

Endgame

24.4 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.86 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score218.6pts

Blue projected score145.8pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 72.8
Score range: 126–239
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 411 vs event baseline 108.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

449.1Season APEX410

43.7Auto28

135.1Teleop87.8

37.6Endgame24.4

3Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	52	58
teleop	150	67
endgame	43	36
foul	5	0
total	250	161

Result

Final score

250 – 161

Prediction correct · off by 23.3 pts

Match videos

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