Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

548.91 – 651.48

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

652 – 824

Prediction correct · off by 137.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 774.4 ±8.1

4907Thunderstamps

Season APEX 210.5Event APEX 117.82Rank 40Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 212.91Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2122Team Tators

Season APEX 289.6Event APEX 218.18Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 891.7 ±8.1

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 203.69Rank 19Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4499The Highlanders

A+

Season APEX 301.1Event APEX 230.55Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

694StuyPulse

A+

Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 217.24Rank 4Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4907, 7457, 2122

/ 100 compat

Projected

548.9 pts

~1.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 4907, 7457, 2122

Auto

140.5 26%

Teleop

262.0 49%

Endgame

134.3 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 6002, 4499, 694

/ 100 compat

Projected

651.5 pts

~2.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 6002, 4499, 694

Auto

143.2 22%

Teleop

346.5 54%

Endgame

149.6 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.18 · Blue 2.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score548.9pts

Blue projected score651.5pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -102.6
Score range: 477–723
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 1476 vs event baseline 402.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

774.4Season APEX891.7

140.5Auto143.2

262Teleop346.5

134.3Endgame149.6

135Consistency114

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	182	168
teleop	229	407
endgame	236	249
foul	5	0
total	652	824

Result

Final score

652 – 824

Prediction correct · off by 137.8 pts

Match videos

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