Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

510.9 – 689.17

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

576 – 535

Prediction missed · off by 109.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 764.4 ±8.7

4270Crusaders

Season APEX 223.8Event APEX 121.62Rank 22Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4481Team Rembrandts

A+

Season APEX 299.9Event APEX 210.73Rank 21Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3707TechnoDogs

Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 178.55Rank 35Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 891.7 ±8.1

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 215.48Rank 19Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4499The Highlanders

A+

Season APEX 301.1Event APEX 243.82Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

694StuyPulse

A+

Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 229.87Rank 4Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4270, 4481, 3707

/ 100 compat

Projected

510.9 pts

~0.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 4270, 4481, 3707

Auto

77.4 15%

Teleop

305.4 60%

Endgame

124.6 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6002, 4499, 694

/ 100 compat

Projected

689.2 pts

~2.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 6002, 4499, 694

Auto

152.4 22%

Teleop

356.7 52%

Endgame

171.5 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.92 · Blue 2.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score510.9pts

Blue projected score689.2pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -178.3
Score range: 437–763
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 1111 vs event baseline 408.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

764.4Season APEX891.7

77.4Auto152.4

305.4Teleop356.7

124.6Endgame171.5

154Consistency79

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	122	69
teleop	309	266
endgame	140	180
foul	5	20
total	576	535

Result

Final score

576 – 535

Prediction missed · off by 109.6 pts

Match videos

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