Playoff · Playoff Match 12 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

604.92 – 679.92

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

570 – 744

Prediction correct · off by 49.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 807.3 ±9.3

4089Stealth Robotics

Season APEX 268.1Event APEX 235.09Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2200BCR Blackout

Season APEX 262Event APEX 212.94Rank 20Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2905Sultans of Turkiye

Season APEX 277.2Event APEX 156.89Rank 15Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 891.7 ±8.1

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 212.55Rank 19Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4499The Highlanders

A+

Season APEX 301.1Event APEX 240.79Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

694StuyPulse

A+

Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 226.58Rank 4Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4089, 2200, 2905

/ 100 compat

Projected

604.9 pts

~1.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 4089, 2200, 2905

Auto

133.7 23%

Teleop

322.1 55%

Endgame

131.5 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6002, 4499, 694

/ 100 compat

Projected

679.9 pts

~2.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 6002, 4499, 694

Auto

147.5 22%

Teleop

356.9 53%

Endgame

165.6 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.37 · Blue 2.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score604.9pts

Blue projected score679.9pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -75
Score range: 532–753
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 1314 vs event baseline 406.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

807.3Season APEX891.7

133.7Auto147.5

322.1Teleop356.9

131.5Endgame165.6

131Consistency85

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	90	180
teleop	300	354
endgame	175	210
foul	5	0
total	570	744

Result

Final score

570 – 744

Prediction correct · off by 49.5 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.