Qualification · Qualification 99

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

680.73 – 192.01

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

776 – 241

Prediction correct · off by 72.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 966 ±8.1

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 206.69Rank 19Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1678Citrus Circuits

Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 263.06Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2122Team Tators

Season APEX 289.6Event APEX 210.98Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 612.3 ±12.8

9635Cyber Rabbit

Season APEX 289.5Event APEX 128.78Rank 32Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

2333Sapulpa Robotics Team

Season APEX 143Event APEX 69.72Rank 70Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10950The Northern Knights

Season APEX 179.8Event APEX -6.49Rank 72Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6002, 1678, 2122

/ 100 compat

Projected

680.7 pts

~2.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 6002, 1678, 2122

Auto

174.3 26%

Teleop

364.5 55%

Endgame

127.4 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9635, 2333, 10950

/ 100 compat

Projected

192 pts

~0.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 9635, 2333, 10950

Auto

35.9 20%

Teleop

78.7 45%

Endgame

60.6 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.87 · Blue 0.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score680.7pts

Blue projected score192pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 25%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 488.7
Score range: 122–751
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1017 vs event baseline 387.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

966Season APEX612.3

174.3Auto35.9

364.5Teleop78.7

127.4Endgame60.6

155Consistency138

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	159	70
teleop	387	114
endgame	215	57
foul	15	0
total	776	241

Result

Final score

776 – 241

Prediction correct · off by 72.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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