Qualification · Qualification 96

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

208.76 – 543.12

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

172 – 426

Prediction correct · off by 76.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 595.6 ±13

201The FEDS

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 188.37Rank 11Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7717Steam Punks

Season APEX 190.2Event APEX 24.08Rank 57Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89

8158Bosphorus Robotics

Season APEX 156.9Event APEX -3.69Rank 73Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 746.9 ±9.9

353POBots

Season APEX 169.7Event APEX 108.76Rank 33Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1640Sab-BOT-age

Season APEX 278.5Event APEX 186.76Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6090Wayland Wildcats

A+

Season APEX 298.7Event APEX 247.6Rank 28Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 201, 7717, 8158

/ 100 compat

Projected

208.8 pts

~0.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 201, 7717, 8158

Auto

32.6 16%

Teleop

118.6 57%

Endgame

57.0 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 353, 1640, 6090

/ 100 compat

Projected

543.1 pts

~2.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 353, 1640, 6090

Auto

80.8 15%

Teleop

263.9 49%

Endgame

195.1 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.56 · Blue 2.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score208.8pts

Blue projected score543.1pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 20%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -334.4
Score range: 139–613
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 598 vs event baseline 387.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

595.6Season APEX746.9

32.6Auto80.8

118.6Teleop263.9

57Endgame195.1

82Consistency140

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	102
teleop	66	225
endgame	52	99
foul	5	0
total	172	426

Result

Final score

172 – 426

Prediction correct · off by 76.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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