Qualification · Qualification 94
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
231.48 – 541.53
2%98%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
257 – 487
Prediction correct · off by 40 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 510.9 ±10.5
Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 119.7Rank 62Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 156.1Event APEX 17.85Rank 63Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 157.5Event APEX 93.93Rank 55Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 877.1 ±13.1
Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 169.64Rank 26Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 301.1Event APEX 200.8Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 313.2Event APEX 171.09Rank 13Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10633, 10101, 8020
41
/ 100 compatProjected
231.5 pts
~0.5 RP (championship)
Teams: 10633, 10101, 8020
Auto
30.6 13%
Teleop
176.5 76%
Endgame
24.4 11%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4915, 4499, 2630
80
/ 100 compatProjected
541.5 pts
~2.7 RP (championship)
Teams: 4915, 4499, 2630
Auto
153.2 29%
Teleop
314.9 59%
Endgame
68.1 13%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.53 · Blue 2.71
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score231.5pts
Blue projected score541.5pts
Red win probability2%
Event bonus sample278alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 38%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 18%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -310
- Score range
- 161–612
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
510.9Season APEX877.1
30.6Auto153.2
176.5Teleop314.9
24.4Endgame68.1
104Consistency102
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 49 | 106 |
| teleop | 145 | 270 |
| endgame | 43 | 91 |
| foul | 20 | 20 |
| total | 257 | 487 |
Result
Final score
257 – 487
Prediction correct · off by 40 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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