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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 94

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

231.48541.53

2%98%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

257487

Prediction correct · off by 40 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 510.9 ±10.5
Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 119.7Rank 62Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 156.1Event APEX 17.85Rank 63Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 157.5Event APEX 93.93Rank 55Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 877.1 ±13.1
Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 169.64Rank 26Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 301.1Event APEX 200.8Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 313.2Event APEX 171.09Rank 13Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10633, 10101, 8020
41
/ 100 compat
Projected
231.5 pts
~0.5 RP (championship)
Teams: 10633, 10101, 8020
Auto
30.6 13%
Teleop
176.5 76%
Endgame
24.4 11%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4915, 4499, 2630
80
/ 100 compat
Projected
541.5 pts
~2.7 RP (championship)
Teams: 4915, 4499, 2630
Auto
153.2 29%
Teleop
314.9 59%
Endgame
68.1 13%
Strengths
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.53 · Blue 2.71
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score231.5pts
Blue projected score541.5pts
Red win probability2%
Event bonus sample278alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 38%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 18%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%
  • Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-310
Score range
161612
Upset likelihood
2%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 744 vs event baseline 387.6.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

510.9Season APEX877.1
30.6Auto153.2
176.5Teleop314.9
24.4Endgame68.1
104Consistency102

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto49106
teleop145270
endgame4391
foul2020
total257487

Result

Final score

257487

Prediction correct · off by 40 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable

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