Qualification · Qualification 93

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

262.03 – 521.12

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

277 – 640

Prediction correct · off by 66.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 599 ±9.8

8873Rockefeller Robotics

Season APEX 171.8Event APEX 73.08Rank 44Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3245Ravens

Season APEX 194Event APEX 74.91Rank 54Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4122Ossining OBOTS

Season APEX 233.2Event APEX 114.04Rank 49Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 769.9 ±8.8

3928Team Neutrino

Season APEX 227.5Event APEX 122.56Rank 48Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 181.81Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4089Stealth Robotics

Season APEX 268.1Event APEX 216.75Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8873, 3245, 4122

/ 100 compat

Projected

262 pts

~0.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 8873, 3245, 4122

Auto

24.5 10%

Teleop

153.9 61%

Endgame

74.1 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3928, 7457, 4089

/ 100 compat

Projected

521.1 pts

~2.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 3928, 7457, 4089

Auto

96.9 19%

Teleop

296.4 58%

Endgame

119.4 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.63 · Blue 2.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score262pts

Blue projected score521.1pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 21%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -259.1
Score range: 192–591
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 917 vs event baseline 386.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

599Season APEX769.9

24.5Auto96.9

153.9Teleop296.4

74.1Endgame119.4

121Consistency146

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	152
teleop	166	344
endgame	81	134
foul	5	10
total	277	640

Result

Final score

277 – 640

Prediction correct · off by 66.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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