Qualification · Qualification 91

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

282.15 – 269.72

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

328 – 323

Prediction correct · off by 49.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 588.2 ±9.3

7250OsCODEa 0w|5

Season APEX 214.7Event APEX 94.96Rank 41Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

343Metal-In-Motion

Season APEX 136.1Event APEX 48.51Rank 27Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4905Andromeda One

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 138.68Rank 18Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 641.8 ±11.2

2403Plasma Robotics

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 47.8Rank 61Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5985Project Bucephalus

Season APEX 228.2Event APEX 40.52Rank 53Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

68Truck Town Thunder

Season APEX 238.1Event APEX 181.4Rank 30Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7250, 343, 4905

/ 100 compat

Projected

282.2 pts

~1.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 7250, 343, 4905

Auto

42.5 15%

Teleop

178.3 64%

Endgame

56.9 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2403, 5985, 68

/ 100 compat

Projected

269.7 pts

~1.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 2403, 5985, 68

Auto

64.6 24%

Teleop

145.8 54%

Endgame

58.0 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.71 · Blue 1.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score282.2pts

Blue projected score269.7pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 12.4
Score range: 200–352
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 651 vs event baseline 387.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

588.2Season APEX641.8

42.5Auto64.6

178.3Teleop145.8

56.9Endgame58

98Consistency118

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	93
teleop	180	131
endgame	102	99
foul	0	0
total	328	323

Result

Final score

328 – 323

Prediction correct · off by 49.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.