Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
208.34 – 208.34
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
233 – 455
Prediction missed · off by 135.7 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 604.3 ±9.8
Season APEX 186.7Event APEX -Rank 42Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 194Event APEX -Rank 54Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 223.6Event APEX -Rank 58Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 796.6 ±10.2
Season APEX 301.1Event APEX -Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 267.3Event APEX -Rank 19Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 228.2Event APEX -Rank 53Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8429, 3245, 8808
50
/ 100 compatProjected
208.3 pts
~1.6 RP (championship)
Teams: 8429, 3245, 8808
Auto
62.5 30%
Teleop
104.2 50%
Endgame
41.7 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 16%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4499, 6002, 5985
50
/ 100 compatProjected
208.3 pts
~1.7 RP (championship)
Teams: 4499, 6002, 5985
Auto
62.5 30%
Teleop
104.2 50%
Endgame
41.7 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 16%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.59 · Blue 1.66
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score208.3pts
Blue projected score208.3pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample278alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 41%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 12%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 133–283
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
604.3Season APEX796.6
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 40 | 157 |
| teleop | 170 | 239 |
| endgame | 23 | 59 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 233 | 455 |
Result
Final score
233 – 455
Prediction missed · off by 135.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.