Qualification · Qualification 85

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

450.8 – 651.69

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

499 – 601

Prediction correct · off by 49.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 720.5 ±8.1

2811StormBots

Season APEX 151.3Event APEX 39.38Rank 69Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4089Stealth Robotics

Season APEX 268.1Event APEX 213.79Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4499The Highlanders

A+

Season APEX 301.1Event APEX 197.63Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 959.7 ±8.1

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 187.15Rank 8Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1678Citrus Circuits

Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 275.35Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 189.19Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2811, 4089, 4499

/ 100 compat

Projected

450.8 pts

~0.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 2811, 4089, 4499

Auto

145.7 33%

Teleop

204.2 46%

Endgame

89.3 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1771, 1678, 7457

/ 100 compat

Projected

651.7 pts

~2.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 1771, 1678, 7457

Auto

136.3 22%

Teleop

373.5 60%

Endgame

114.4 18%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.73 · Blue 2.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score450.8pts

Blue projected score651.7pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 27%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -200.9
Score range: 382–721
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1100 vs event baseline 383.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

720.5Season APEX959.7

145.7Auto136.3

204.2Teleop373.5

89.3Endgame114.4

150Consistency109

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	122	158
teleop	217	320
endgame	160	118
foul	0	5
total	499	601

Result

Final score

499 – 601

Prediction correct · off by 49.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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