Qualification · Qualification 82

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

388.72 – 416.9

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

207 – 537

Prediction correct · off by 150.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 595.2 ±9.8

4905Andromeda One

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 157.59Rank 18Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3277ProDigi

Season APEX 160.5Event APEX 83.39Rank 50Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10633BeeBotics

Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 147.74Rank 62Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 748.1 ±9.3

3245Ravens

Season APEX 194Event APEX 54.51Rank 54Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

686Bovine Intervention

Season APEX 254.2Event APEX 184.29Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4481Team Rembrandts

A+

Season APEX 299.9Event APEX 178.1Rank 21Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4905, 3277, 10633

/ 100 compat

Projected

388.7 pts

~1.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 4905, 3277, 10633

Auto

54.9 14%

Teleop

237.4 62%

Endgame

93.3 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3245, 686, 4481

/ 100 compat

Projected

416.9 pts

~1.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 3245, 686, 4481

Auto

69.6 17%

Teleop

243.3 58%

Endgame

103.3 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.44 · Blue 1.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score388.7pts

Blue projected score416.9pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 21%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -28.2
Score range: 320–486
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 744 vs event baseline 383.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

595.2Season APEX748.1

54.9Auto69.6

237.4Teleop243.3

93.3Endgame103.3

140Consistency147

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	84
teleop	95	354
endgame	36	94
foul	20	5
total	207	537

Result

Final score

207 – 537

Prediction correct · off by 150.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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