Qualification · Qualification 80

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

609.5 – 189.92

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

620 – 162

Prediction correct · off by 19.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 948.5 ±14.3

7039❌⭕

Provisional

Season APEX 307.7Event APEX 168.97Rank 24Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

2481Roboteers

Season APEX 378Event APEX 262Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4915Spartronics

Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 178.53Rank 26Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 507.2 ±9.8

7250OsCODEa 0w|5

Season APEX 214.7Event APEX 91.04Rank 41Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2403Plasma Robotics

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 53.98Rank 61Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2169KING TeC

Season APEX 117Event APEX 44.9Rank 71Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7039, 2481, 4915

/ 100 compat

Projected

609.5 pts

~2.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 7039, 2481, 4915

Auto

124.9 21%

Teleop

370.8 61%

Endgame

107.3 18%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 7250, 2403, 2169

/ 100 compat

Projected

189.9 pts

~0.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 7250, 2403, 2169

Auto

44.3 25%

Teleop

92.9 53%

Endgame

37.8 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.78 · Blue 0.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score609.5pts

Blue projected score189.9pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 419.6
Score range: 121–679
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 782 vs event baseline 384.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

948.5Season APEX507.2

124.9Auto44.3

370.8Teleop92.9

107.3Endgame37.8

89Consistency140

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	135	36
teleop	347	92
endgame	118	29
foul	20	5
total	620	162

Result

Final score

620 – 162

Prediction correct · off by 19.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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