Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
209 – 209
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
323 – 492
Prediction missed · off by 198.5 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 531 ±10.4
Season APEX 160.5Event APEX -Rank 50Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 227.5Event APEX -Rank 48Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 143Event APEX -Rank 70Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 690.4 ±9.3
Season APEX 242.6Event APEX -Rank 16Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 233.1Event APEX -Rank 17Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 214.7Event APEX -Rank 41Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3277, 3928, 2333
50
/ 100 compatProjected
209 pts
~1.5 RP (championship)
Teams: 3277, 3928, 2333
Auto
62.7 30%
Teleop
104.5 50%
Endgame
41.8 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 287, 4795, 7250
50
/ 100 compatProjected
209 pts
~1.8 RP (championship)
Teams: 287, 4795, 7250
Auto
62.7 30%
Teleop
104.5 50%
Endgame
41.8 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.54 · Blue 1.75
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score209pts
Blue projected score209pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample278alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 19%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 134–284
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
531Season APEX690.4
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 81 | 70 |
| teleop | 183 | 276 |
| endgame | 59 | 146 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 323 | 492 |
Result
Final score
323 – 492
Prediction missed · off by 198.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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