Qualification · Qualification 77

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

425.15 – 320.54

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

380 – 388

Prediction missed · off by 56.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 825.1 ±13.9

2122Team Tators

Season APEX 289.6Event APEX 206.13Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9140The Robobots

Season APEX 237.1Event APEX 112.25Rank 25Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3075Ha-Dream Team

Provisional

Season APEX 298.4Event APEX 106.77Rank 39Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 642.9 ±9.3

3492Putnam Area Robotics Team (P.A.R.T.s)

Season APEX 185.9Event APEX 47.28Rank 38Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

201The FEDS

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 163.9Rank 11Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

70More Martians

Season APEX 208.5Event APEX 109.36Rank 51Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2122, 9140, 3075

/ 100 compat

Projected

425.2 pts

~2.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 2122, 9140, 3075

Auto

102.5 25%

Teleop

234.7 57%

Endgame

76.5 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3492, 201, 70

/ 100 compat

Projected

320.5 pts

~1.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 3492, 201, 70

Auto

76.8 24%

Teleop

176.1 56%

Endgame

63.5 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.53 · Blue 1.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score425.2pts

Blue projected score320.5pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 71%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 22%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 104.6
Score range: 251–495
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 768 vs event baseline 387.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

825.1Season APEX642.9

102.5Auto76.8

234.7Teleop176.1

76.5Endgame63.5

135Consistency120

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	91	61
teleop	201	207
endgame	83	120
foul	5	0
total	380	388

Result

Final score

380 – 388

Prediction missed · off by 56.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.