Qualification · Qualification 75
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
311.86 – 399.85
25%75%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
180 – 247
Prediction correct · off by 142.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 682 ±11.7
Season APEX 217.2Event APEX 129.8Rank 56Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 285Event APEX 150.38Rank 12Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 179.8Event APEX 31.68Rank 72Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 550.5 ±9.3
Season APEX 136.1Event APEX 75.65Rank 27Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 242.6Event APEX 236.57Rank 16Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 171.8Event APEX 87.63Rank 44Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2601, 6238, 10950
63
/ 100 compatProjected
311.9 pts
~1.0 RP (championship)
Teams: 2601, 6238, 10950
Auto
62.6 24%
Teleop
150.8 57%
Endgame
51.9 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 343, 287, 8873
63
/ 100 compatProjected
399.9 pts
~2.1 RP (championship)
Teams: 343, 287, 8873
Auto
38.7 9%
Teleop
264.8 65%
Endgame
106.1 26%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.04 · Blue 2.15
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score311.9pts
Blue projected score399.9pts
Red win probability25%
Event bonus sample278alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 45%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 18%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -88
- Score range
- 242–470
- Upset likelihood
- 25%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
682Season APEX550.5
62.6Auto38.7
150.8Teleop264.8
51.9Endgame106.1
191Consistency91
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 65 | 45 |
| teleop | 93 | 172 |
| endgame | 22 | 25 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 180 | 247 |
Result
Final score
180 – 247
Prediction correct · off by 142.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.