Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
207.13 – 207.13
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
500 – 381
Prediction correct · off by 233.4 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 709.7 ±8.7
Season APEX 223.8Event APEX -Rank 22Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 237.4Event APEX -Rank 36Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 248.5Event APEX -Rank 11Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 686 ±13.5
Season APEX 313.2Event APEX -Rank 13Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 197.3Event APEX -Rank 62Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 175.5Event APEX -Rank 61Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4270, 4362, 201
50
/ 100 compatProjected
207.1 pts
~1.8 RP (championship)
Teams: 4270, 4362, 201
Auto
62.1 30%
Teleop
103.6 50%
Endgame
41.4 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 19%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2630, 10633, 2403
50
/ 100 compatProjected
207.1 pts
~1.6 RP (championship)
Teams: 2630, 10633, 2403
Auto
62.1 30%
Teleop
103.6 50%
Endgame
41.4 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 19%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.75 · Blue 1.6
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score207.1pts
Blue projected score207.1pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample278alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 11%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 132–282
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
709.7Season APEX686
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 71 | 75 |
| teleop | 283 | 223 |
| endgame | 136 | 73 |
| foul | 10 | 10 |
| total | 500 | 381 |
Result
Final score
500 – 381
Prediction correct · off by 233.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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