Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

264.97 – 381.59

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

314 – 325

Prediction correct · off by 52.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 624.5 ±10.4

6925W.A.Robotics

Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 90.42Rank 60Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3492Putnam Area Robotics Team (P.A.R.T.s)

Season APEX 185.9Event APEX 45.49Rank 38Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1671Buchanan Bird Brains

Season APEX 267.1Event APEX 129.06Rank 37Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 627.6 ±9.8

4915Spartronics

Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 184.28Rank 26Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4421FORGE Robotics

Season APEX 221.8Event APEX 105.95Rank 45Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2333Sapulpa Robotics Team

Season APEX 143Event APEX 91.36Rank 70Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6925, 3492, 1671

/ 100 compat

Projected

265 pts

~1.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 6925, 3492, 1671

Auto

26.0 10%

Teleop

116.1 45%

Endgame

116.0 45%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4915, 4421, 2333

/ 100 compat

Projected

381.6 pts

~2.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 4915, 4421, 2333

Auto

50.9 14%

Teleop

240.3 65%

Endgame

80.0 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1 · Blue 2.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score265pts

Blue projected score381.6pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -116.6
Score range: 195–452
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 639 vs event baseline 387.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

624.5Season APEX627.6

26Auto50.9

116.1Teleop240.3

116Endgame80

89Consistency114

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	57
teleop	200	211
endgame	48	57
foul	20	0
total	314	325

Result

Final score

314 – 325

Prediction correct · off by 52.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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