Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

320.65 – 287.28

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

416 – 188

Prediction correct · off by 97.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 625.1 ±9.9

3707TechnoDogs

Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 178.62Rank 35Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7250OsCODEa 0w|5

Season APEX 214.7Event APEX 68.73Rank 41Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

353POBots

Season APEX 169.7Event APEX 73.3Rank 33Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 530.5 ±11.2

10950The Northern Knights

Season APEX 179.8Event APEX 55.45Rank 72Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10633BeeBotics

Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 162.68Rank 62Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3419RoHawks

Season APEX 153.4Event APEX 69.15Rank 67Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3707, 7250, 353

/ 100 compat

Projected

320.7 pts

~1.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 3707, 7250, 353

Auto

39.2 12%

Teleop

168.0 53%

Endgame

112.8 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10950, 10633, 3419

/ 100 compat

Projected

287.3 pts

~1.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 10950, 10633, 3419

Auto

16.1 6%

Teleop

182.2 68%

Endgame

69.2 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.85 · Blue 1.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score320.7pts

Blue projected score287.3pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 33.4
Score range: 217–391
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 604 vs event baseline 387.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

625.1Season APEX530.5

39.2Auto16.1

168Teleop182.2

112.8Endgame69.2

167Consistency163

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	107	46
teleop	193	73
endgame	86	64
foul	30	5
total	416	188

Result

Final score

416 – 188

Prediction correct · off by 97.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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