Qualification · Qualification 61

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

414.6 – 411.74

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

400 – 386

Prediction correct · off by 20.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 678.6 ±8.1

9644NEIA Robotics

Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 2.37Rank 59Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2974Walton Robotics

Season APEX 230.2Event APEX 224.24Rank 23Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 187.99Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 629.3 ±9.8

2333Sapulpa Robotics Team

Season APEX 143Event APEX 98.68Rank 70Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2846FireBears

Season APEX 210Event APEX 87.66Rank 34Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 225.4Rank 8Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9644, 2974, 7457

/ 100 compat

Projected

414.6 pts

~1.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 9644, 2974, 7457

Auto

103.6 25%

Teleop

211.2 52%

Endgame

91.7 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2333, 2846, 1771

/ 100 compat

Projected

411.7 pts

~1.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 2333, 2846, 1771

Auto

105.5 25%

Teleop

225.9 55%

Endgame

82.8 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.78 · Blue 1.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score414.6pts

Blue projected score411.7pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 2.9
Score range: 341–486
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 786 vs event baseline 394.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

678.6Season APEX629.3

103.6Auto105.5

211.2Teleop225.9

91.7Endgame82.8

120Consistency110

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	68	78
teleop	226	219
endgame	91	89
foul	15	0
total	400	386

Result

Final score

400 – 386

Prediction correct · off by 20.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.