Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

333.17 – 509.64

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

279 – 613

Prediction correct · off by 78.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 598.3 ±10.5

4122Ossining OBOTS

Season APEX 233.2Event APEX 130.15Rank 49Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3707TechnoDogs

Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 176.14Rank 35Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10604Demirören Robotics

Season APEX 124.4Event APEX 26.88Rank 74Record 0-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 852.9 ±13.9

7039❌⭕

Provisional

Season APEX 307.7Event APEX 170.99Rank 24Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

343Metal-In-Motion

Season APEX 136.1Event APEX 68.52Rank 27Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1678Citrus Circuits

Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 270.13Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4122, 3707, 10604

/ 100 compat

Projected

333.2 pts

~0.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 4122, 3707, 10604

Auto

51.8 16%

Teleop

157.2 48%

Endgame

120.9 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7039, 343, 1678

/ 100 compat

Projected

509.6 pts

~2.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 7039, 343, 1678

Auto

98.9 20%

Teleop

278.0 56%

Endgame

119.7 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.73 · Blue 2.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score333.2pts

Blue projected score509.6pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 24%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -176.5
Score range: 259–584
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 892 vs event baseline 411.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

598.3Season APEX852.9

51.8Auto98.9

157.2Teleop278

120.9Endgame119.7

169Consistency104

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	115
teleop	143	330
endgame	95	168
foul	0	0
total	279	613

Result

Final score

279 – 613

Prediction correct · off by 78.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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