Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

447.68 – 287.92

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

456 – 385

Prediction correct · off by 52.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 709 ±8.7

7890SeQuEnCe

Season APEX 178.1Event APEX 92.05Rank 52Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4089Stealth Robotics

Season APEX 268.1Event APEX 178.54Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4915Spartronics

Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 177.09Rank 26Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 598.4 ±9.8

3419RoHawks

Season APEX 153.4Event APEX 41.35Rank 67Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4476W.A.F.F.L.E.S.

Season APEX 284.5Event APEX 177.84Rank 29Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3277ProDigi

Season APEX 160.5Event APEX 68.73Rank 50Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7890, 4089, 4915

/ 100 compat

Projected

447.7 pts

~2.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 7890, 4089, 4915

Auto

93.4 21%

Teleop

269.4 60%

Endgame

83.0 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3419, 4476, 3277

/ 100 compat

Projected

287.9 pts

~0.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 3419, 4476, 3277

Auto

40.6 14%

Teleop

179.3 60%

Endgame

79.2 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.47 · Blue 0.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score447.7pts

Blue projected score287.9pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 159.8
Score range: 217–519
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 841 vs event baseline 392.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

709Season APEX598.4

93.4Auto40.6

269.4Teleop179.3

83Endgame79.2

140Consistency126

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	117	54
teleop	235	162
endgame	99	149
foul	5	20
total	456	385

Result

Final score

456 – 385

Prediction correct · off by 52.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.