Qualification · Qualification 57
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
520.88 – 213.96
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
586 – 492
Prediction correct · off by 171.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 879 ±9.3
Season APEX 278.5Event APEX 201.14Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 277.2Event APEX 160.66Rank 15Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 159.08Rank 4Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 732.9 ±9.3
Season APEX 285Event APEX 135.6Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 214.7Event APEX 22.86Rank 41Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 233.2Event APEX 55.5Rank 49Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1640, 2905, 694
82
/ 100 compatProjected
520.9 pts
~2.8 RP (championship)
Teams: 1640, 2905, 694
Auto
72.7 15%
Teleop
295.1 59%
Endgame
132.2 26%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 19%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7426, 7250, 4122
53
/ 100 compatProjected
214 pts
~0.7 RP (championship)
Teams: 7426, 7250, 4122
Auto
40.4 20%
Teleop
118.2 59%
Endgame
42.9 21%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 19%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.76 · Blue 0.72
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score520.9pts
Blue projected score214pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample278alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 60%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 13%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 306.9
- Score range
- 144–591
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
879Season APEX732.9
72.7Auto40.4
295.1Teleop118.2
132.2Endgame42.9
176Consistency212
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 72 | 54 |
| teleop | 344 | 242 |
| endgame | 165 | 176 |
| foul | 5 | 20 |
| total | 586 | 492 |
Result
Final score
586 – 492
Prediction correct · off by 171.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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