Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

105.5 – 407.97

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

74 – 454

Prediction correct · off by 38.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 502.1 ±12.8

2169KING TeC

Season APEX 117Event APEX 27.34Rank 71Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8158Bosphorus Robotics

Season APEX 156.9Event APEX 19.59Rank 73Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5985Project Bucephalus

Season APEX 228.2Event APEX 58.57Rank 53Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 736.4 ±13.9

3075Ha-Dream Team

Provisional

Season APEX 298.4Event APEX 103.28Rank 39Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10633BeeBotics

Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 143.97Rank 62Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3707TechnoDogs

Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 160.72Rank 35Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2169, 8158, 5985

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.5 pts

~0.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 2169, 8158, 5985

Auto

16.2 19%

Teleop

59.8 69%

Endgame

10.5 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3075, 10633, 3707

/ 100 compat

Projected

408 pts

~2.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 3075, 10633, 3707

Auto

38.4 9%

Teleop

241.8 59%

Endgame

130.8 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.38 · Blue 2.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score105.5pts

Blue projected score408pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -302.5
Score range: 35–479
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 528 vs event baseline 393.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

502.1Season APEX736.4

16.2Auto38.4

59.8Teleop241.8

10.5Endgame130.8

197Consistency168

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	74
teleop	54	318
endgame	0	62
foul	0	0
total	74	454

Result

Final score

74 – 454

Prediction correct · off by 38.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.