Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

241.11 – 291.05

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

279 – 573

Prediction correct · off by 159.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 469.7 ±12.1

263Aftershock

Season APEX 175.6Event APEX 123.42Rank 43Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10604Demirören Robotics

Season APEX 124.4Event APEX 72.55Rank 74Record 0-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

353POBots

Season APEX 169.7Event APEX 45.14Rank 33Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 698.1 ±9.8

8808SWLA Tech Pirates

Season APEX 223.6Event APEX 109.26Rank 58Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9140The Robobots

Season APEX 237.1Event APEX 83.18Rank 25Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4905Andromeda One

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 98.61Rank 18Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 263, 10604, 353

/ 100 compat

Projected

241.1 pts

~1.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 263, 10604, 353

Auto

17.6 7%

Teleop

120.8 50%

Endgame

101.0 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8808, 9140, 4905

/ 100 compat

Projected

291.1 pts

~2.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 8808, 9140, 4905

Auto

81.6 29%

Teleop

209.5 75%

Endgame

-10.4 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.2 · Blue 2.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score241.1pts

Blue projected score291.1pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 23%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -49.9
Score range: 170–362
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 852 vs event baseline 392.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

469.7Season APEX698.1

17.6Auto81.6

120.8Teleop209.5

101Endgame-10.4

194Consistency210

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	67
teleop	132	341
endgame	106	165
foul	0	0
total	279	573

Result

Final score

279 – 573

Prediction correct · off by 159.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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