Qualification · Qualification 54
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
336.57 – 284.18
66%34%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
372 – 311
Prediction correct · off by 31.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 649.1 ±8.8
Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 142.59Rank 19Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 195.9Event APEX 138.09Rank 46Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 185.9Event APEX 55.89Rank 38Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 567.8 ±10.5
Season APEX 217.2Event APEX 131.09Rank 56Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 227.5Event APEX 121.46Rank 48Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 123.1Event APEX 31.63Rank 65Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6002, 5462, 3492
62
/ 100 compatProjected
336.6 pts
~2.0 RP (championship)
Teams: 6002, 5462, 3492
Auto
108.9 32%
Teleop
161.5 47%
Endgame
73.2 21%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 14%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2601, 3928, 7763
55
/ 100 compatProjected
284.2 pts
~1.2 RP (championship)
Teams: 2601, 3928, 7763
Auto
40.9 15%
Teleop
167.6 62%
Endgame
60.8 23%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 14%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.05 · Blue 1.24
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score336.6pts
Blue projected score284.2pts
Red win probability66%
Event bonus sample278alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 57%, blue 45%
Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 9%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 52.4
- Score range
- 213–408
- Upset likelihood
- 34%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
649.1Season APEX567.8
108.9Auto40.9
161.5Teleop167.6
73.2Endgame60.8
127Consistency154
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 96 | 62 |
| teleop | 185 | 174 |
| endgame | 91 | 65 |
| foul | 0 | 10 |
| total | 372 | 311 |
Result
Final score
372 – 311
Prediction correct · off by 31.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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