Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

129.24 – 267.2

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

290 – 100

Prediction missed · off by 164 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 628.6 ±11.9

7717Steam Punks

Season APEX 190.2Event APEX -5.17Rank 57Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89

3419RoHawks

Season APEX 153.4Event APEX 24.76Rank 67Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7426PAIR OF DICE ROBOTICS

Season APEX 285Event APEX 109.65Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 506.1 ±9.8

3277ProDigi

Season APEX 160.5Event APEX 76.39Rank 50Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6925W.A.Robotics

Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 129.89Rank 60Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9644NEIA Robotics

Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 60.92Rank 59Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7717, 3419, 7426

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.2 pts

~0.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 7717, 3419, 7426

Auto

65.9 53%

Teleop

98.8 80%

Endgame

-41.4 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3277, 6925, 9644

/ 100 compat

Projected

267.2 pts

~2.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 3277, 6925, 9644

Auto

58.1 22%

Teleop

158.0 59%

Endgame

50.1 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.85 · Blue 2.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score129.2pts

Blue projected score267.2pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -138
Score range: 58–338
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 390 vs event baseline 394.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

628.6Season APEX506.1

65.9Auto58.1

98.8Teleop158

-41.4Endgame50.1

163Consistency176

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	63	52
teleop	128	45
endgame	99	3
foul	0	0
total	290	100

Result

Final score

290 – 100

Prediction missed · off by 164 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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