Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

457.62 – 129.41

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

477 – 313

Prediction correct · off by 101.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 848.8 ±10.2

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 162.86Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9635Cyber Rabbit

Season APEX 289.5Event APEX 139.1Rank 32Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

6238Popcorn Penguins

Season APEX 285Event APEX 155.66Rank 12Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 682.2 ±15.6

6989KAISER

Season APEX 217.6Event APEX 27.11Rank 64Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8158Bosphorus Robotics

Season APEX 156.9Event APEX -13.05Rank 73Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7039❌⭕

Provisional

Season APEX 307.7Event APEX 115.35Rank 24Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7457, 9635, 6238

/ 100 compat

Projected

457.6 pts

~2.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 7457, 9635, 6238

Auto

77.5 18%

Teleop

245.2 56%

Endgame

118.6 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6989, 8158, 7039

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.4 pts

~0.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 6989, 8158, 7039

Auto

49.0 36%

Teleop

66.8 49%

Endgame

21.6 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.86 · Blue 0.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score457.6pts

Blue projected score129.4pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 22%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 328.2
Score range: 58–529
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 790 vs event baseline 394.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

848.8Season APEX682.2

77.5Auto49

245.2Teleop66.8

118.6Endgame21.6

153Consistency217

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	103	69
teleop	249	174
endgame	85	70
foul	40	0
total	477	313

Result

Final score

477 – 313

Prediction correct · off by 101.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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