Qualification · Qualification 47
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
156.99 – 310.21
13%87%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
399 – 453
Prediction correct · off by 192.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 543.5 ±10.5
Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 73.06Rank 62Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 221.8Event APEX 57.61Rank 45Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 124.4Event APEX 26.32Rank 74Record 0-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 641.9 ±10.5
Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 128.04Rank 4Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 143Event APEX 66.94Rank 70Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 175.6Event APEX 115.23Rank 43Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10633, 4421, 10604
42
/ 100 compatProjected
157 pts
~0.8 RP (championship)
Teams: 10633, 4421, 10604
Auto
34.9 23%
Teleop
104.9 68%
Endgame
14.8 10%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 694, 2333, 263
61
/ 100 compatProjected
310.2 pts
~2.3 RP (championship)
Teams: 694, 2333, 263
Auto
41.3 14%
Teleop
163.9 54%
Endgame
95.6 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.75 · Blue 2.25
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score157pts
Blue projected score310.2pts
Red win probability13%
Event bonus sample278alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 40%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 9%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -153.2
- Score range
- 86–381
- Upset likelihood
- 13%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
543.5Season APEX641.9
34.9Auto41.3
104.9Teleop163.9
14.8Endgame95.6
209Consistency211
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 27 | 48 |
| teleop | 212 | 292 |
| endgame | 150 | 108 |
| foul | 10 | 5 |
| total | 399 | 453 |
Result
Final score
399 – 453
Prediction correct · off by 192.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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