Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

472.36 – 129.02

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

503 – 139

Prediction correct · off by 20.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 748.9 ±8.1

201The FEDS

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 150.33Rank 11Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4795Eastbots

Season APEX 233.1Event APEX 172.63Rank 17Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 149.4Rank 19Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 479.2 ±9.5

2811StormBots

Season APEX 151.3Event APEX -3.18Rank 69Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8873Rockefeller Robotics

Season APEX 171.8Event APEX 81.28Rank 44Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10101Critical Hit

Season APEX 156.1Event APEX 50.92Rank 63Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 201, 4795, 6002

/ 100 compat

Projected

472.4 pts

~2.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 201, 4795, 6002

Auto

97.2 21%

Teleop

257.4 55%

Endgame

112.2 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2811, 8873, 10101

/ 100 compat

Projected

129 pts

~0.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 2811, 8873, 10101

Auto

23.1 19%

Teleop

79.9 64%

Endgame

20.9 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.76 · Blue 0.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score472.4pts

Blue projected score129pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 343.3
Score range: 58–543
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 642 vs event baseline 392.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

748.9Season APEX479.2

97.2Auto23.1

257.4Teleop79.9

112.2Endgame20.9

194Consistency187

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	119	20
teleop	261	110
endgame	123	9
foul	0	0
total	503	139

Result

Final score

503 – 139

Prediction correct · off by 20.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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