Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

483.82 – 408.15

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

364 – 321

Prediction correct · off by 103.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 794.9 ±11.2

9140The Robobots

Season APEX 237.1Event APEX 134.89Rank 25Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2481Roboteers

Season APEX 378Event APEX 246.46Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10950The Northern Knights

Season APEX 179.8Event APEX 102.47Rank 72Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 634.1 ±9.3

2200BCR Blackout

Season APEX 262Event APEX 229.67Rank 20Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3245Ravens

Season APEX 194Event APEX 72.06Rank 54Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7890SeQuEnCe

Season APEX 178.1Event APEX 106.42Rank 52Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9140, 2481, 10950

/ 100 compat

Projected

483.8 pts

~2.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 9140, 2481, 10950

Auto

120.3 25%

Teleop

280.6 59%

Endgame

73.1 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2200, 3245, 7890

/ 100 compat

Projected

408.2 pts

~1.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 2200, 3245, 7890

Auto

36.0 9%

Teleop

243.6 59%

Endgame

131.6 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.08 · Blue 1.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score483.8pts

Blue projected score408.2pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 75.7
Score range: 338–554
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 685 vs event baseline 388.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

794.9Season APEX634.1

120.3Auto36

280.6Teleop243.6

73.1Endgame131.6

169Consistency168

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	95	90
teleop	164	148
endgame	75	53
foul	30	30
total	364	321

Result

Final score

364 – 321

Prediction correct · off by 103.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.