Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

119.21 – 233.43

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

134 – 407

Prediction correct · off by 94.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 411.3 ±9.4

2333Sapulpa Robotics Team

Season APEX 143Event APEX 39.51Rank 70Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2811StormBots

Season APEX 151.3Event APEX -0.96Rank 69Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2169KING TeC

Season APEX 117Event APEX 80.66Rank 71Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 579.6 ±9.9

68Truck Town Thunder

Season APEX 238.1Event APEX 167.21Rank 30Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

353POBots

Season APEX 169.7Event APEX 19.23Rank 33Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8873Rockefeller Robotics

Season APEX 171.8Event APEX 46.99Rank 44Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2333, 2811, 2169

/ 100 compat

Projected

119.2 pts

~0.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 2333, 2811, 2169

Auto

59.1 55%

Teleop

69.8 64%

Endgame

-20.5 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 68, 353, 8873

/ 100 compat

Projected

233.4 pts

~2.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 68, 353, 8873

Auto

30.9 14%

Teleop

130.8 58%

Endgame

62.0 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.7 · Blue 2.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score119.2pts

Blue projected score233.4pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -114.2
Score range: 48–304
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 541 vs event baseline 395.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

411.3Season APEX579.6

59.1Auto30.9

69.8Teleop130.8

-20.5Endgame62

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	64
teleop	63	225
endgame	54	113
foul	0	5
total	134	407

Result

Final score

134 – 407

Prediction correct · off by 94.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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