Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

403.77 – 234.75

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

465 – 296

Prediction correct · off by 61.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 725.1 ±9.3

7426PAIR OF DICE ROBOTICS

Season APEX 285Event APEX 189.01Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

686Bovine Intervention

Season APEX 254.2Event APEX 149.02Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3492Putnam Area Robotics Team (P.A.R.T.s)

Season APEX 185.9Event APEX 65.74Rank 38Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 604.8 ±12.4

8158Bosphorus Robotics

Season APEX 156.9Event APEX -7.2Rank 73Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10950The Northern Knights

Season APEX 179.8Event APEX 5.47Rank 72Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4089Stealth Robotics

Season APEX 268.1Event APEX 236.48Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7426, 686, 3492

/ 100 compat

Projected

403.8 pts

~2.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 7426, 686, 3492

Auto

102.8 26%

Teleop

190.3 48%

Endgame

103.3 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8158, 10950, 4089

/ 100 compat

Projected

234.8 pts

~0.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 8158, 10950, 4089

Auto

47.8 22%

Teleop

103.1 47%

Endgame

70.5 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.54 · Blue 0.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score403.8pts

Blue projected score234.8pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 169
Score range: 161–478
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 761 vs event baseline 411.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

725.1Season APEX604.8

102.8Auto47.8

190.3Teleop103.1

103.3Endgame70.5

155Consistency154

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	83	58
teleop	236	146
endgame	146	87
foul	0	5
total	465	296

Result

Final score

465 – 296

Prediction correct · off by 61.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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