Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

187.88 – 272.77

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

241 – 380

Prediction correct · off by 80.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 604.6 ±9.3

10633BeeBotics

Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 78.89Rank 62Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9644NEIA Robotics

Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 25.66Rank 59Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4122Ossining OBOTS

Season APEX 233.2Event APEX 83.33Rank 49Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 705 ±11.2

4905Andromeda One

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 52.67Rank 18Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9635Cyber Rabbit

Season APEX 289.5Event APEX 129.6Rank 32Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

7890SeQuEnCe

Season APEX 178.1Event APEX 90.5Rank 52Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10633, 9644, 4122

/ 100 compat

Projected

187.9 pts

~1.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 10633, 9644, 4122

Auto

38.2 21%

Teleop

103.7 56%

Endgame

44.4 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4905, 9635, 7890

/ 100 compat

Projected

272.8 pts

~2.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 4905, 9635, 7890

Auto

54.1 21%

Teleop

128.1 49%

Endgame

81.7 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.07 · Blue 2.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score187.9pts

Blue projected score272.8pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -84.9
Score range: 118–343
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 621 vs event baseline 387.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

604.6Season APEX705

38.2Auto54.1

103.7Teleop128.1

44.4Endgame81.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	68
teleop	198	212
endgame	10	100
foul	0	0
total	241	380

Result

Final score

241 – 380

Prediction correct · off by 80.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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