Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

272.06 – 415.45

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

331 – 591

Prediction correct · off by 117.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 507.8 ±9.8

3419RoHawks

Season APEX 153.4Event APEX 64Rank 67Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4362Gems

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 103.49Rank 36Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2169KING TeC

Season APEX 117Event APEX 104.57Rank 71Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 702.1 ±8.1

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 130Rank 19Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6090Wayland Wildcats

A+

Season APEX 298.7Event APEX 146Rank 28Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

343Metal-In-Motion

Season APEX 136.1Event APEX 139.45Rank 27Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3419, 4362, 2169

/ 100 compat

Projected

272.1 pts

~0.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 3419, 4362, 2169

Auto

51.8 20%

Teleop

151.7 58%

Endgame

56.4 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6002, 6090, 343

/ 100 compat

Projected

415.5 pts

~2.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 6002, 6090, 343

Auto

100.7 24%

Teleop

219.2 52%

Endgame

105.6 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.7 · Blue 2.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score272.1pts

Blue projected score415.5pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 20%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -143.4
Score range: 202–485
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 922 vs event baseline 387.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

507.8Season APEX702.1

51.8Auto100.7

151.7Teleop219.2

56.4Endgame105.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	115
teleop	226	341
endgame	64	135
foul	0	0
total	331	591

Result

Final score

331 – 591

Prediction correct · off by 117.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable