Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

348.56 – 273.43

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

517 – 506

Prediction correct · off by 200.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 694.8 ±11.9

287Floyd Robotics

Season APEX 242.6Event APEX 138.91Rank 16Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2200BCR Blackout

Season APEX 262Event APEX 154.27Rank 20Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7717Steam Punks

Season APEX 190.2Event APEX 55.38Rank 57Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 845.2 ±9.3

2905Sultans of Turkiye

Season APEX 277.2Event APEX 92.72Rank 15Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4481Team Rembrandts

A+

Season APEX 299.9Event APEX 92Rank 21Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4089Stealth Robotics

Season APEX 268.1Event APEX 88.71Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 287, 2200, 7717

/ 100 compat

Projected

348.6 pts

~2.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 287, 2200, 7717

Auto

76.3 22%

Teleop

216.6 64%

Endgame

47.5 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2905, 4481, 4089

/ 100 compat

Projected

273.4 pts

~1.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 2905, 4481, 4089

Auto

52.7 20%

Teleop

139.5 52%

Endgame

76.3 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.2 · Blue 1.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score348.6pts

Blue projected score273.4pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 21%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 75.1
Score range: 203–419
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 1023 vs event baseline 390.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

694.8Season APEX845.2

76.3Auto52.7

216.6Teleop139.5

47.5Endgame76.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	79	122
teleop	278	319
endgame	145	55
foul	15	10
total	517	506

Result

Final score

517 – 506

Prediction correct · off by 200.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.